James Conner Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Colt McCoy in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to accumulate 3.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 9th-least in football.
James Conner has compiled a measly -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among running backs.
James Conner's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 94.7% to 83.5%.
James Conner's pass-game efficiency has declined this season, averaging a measly 5.14 yards-per-target compared to a 9.38 figure last season.

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