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James Conner

James Conner Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (41.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • In this contest, James Conner is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile among RBs with 16.7 carries.
  • James Conner has garnered 61.9% of his team's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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