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James Conner

James Conner Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 9th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 44.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast James Conner to total 16.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • James Conner has received 60.9% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • The Commanders linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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