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James Conner

James Conner Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL (41.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Cardinals.

In this game, James Conner is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.8 carries.

Among all RBs, James Conner grades out in the 94th percentile for carries this year, making up 65.2% of the workload in his team's running game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Lions safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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