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James Conner

James Conner Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to run on 43.6% of their chances: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.17 seconds per play.

James Conner has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for just 60.1% of snaps vs 79.5% last season.

The predictive model expects James Conner to accrue 14.1 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 9th-best group of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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