James Conner Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to earn 12.0 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
James Conner has garnered 52.6% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties profile as the 32nd-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

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