Jameis Winston Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+953/-1233).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The New York Giants will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
Our trusted projections expect the Giants to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
The rushing TD field reads "0" on Jameis Winston's stats page this year.
This year, the deficient Saints defense has surrendered a staggering 75.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-biggest rate in football.
Favors Under
The leading projections forecast the Giants as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (46.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Giants.
The leading projections forecast Jameis Winston to attempt 33.0 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Saints, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.
The leading projections forecast Jameis Winston to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone in this week's contest (7.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).