Jameis Winston Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jameis Winston

NFL · Player Props

Jameis Winston

QB · New York Giants

Touchdowns

New York Giants vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 6:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jameis Winston Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+810/-1200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants will be starting backup quarterback Jameis Winston in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 5th-most TDs through the air in the league: 1.90 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 5th-most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (48.2% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Giants.
At the moment, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Giants.
In this week's contest, Jameis Winston is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 3rd-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.1.
The predictive model expects Jameis Winston to be a more important option in his offense's run game near the end zone in this week's contest (12.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.5% in games he has played).

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