Jameis Winston Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Jameis Winston

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 5:17 PM EST

Analysis

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+173/-209).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -209.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Giants to be the 2nd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Jameis Winston to be a more important option in his team's run game in this week's game (12.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.1% in games he has played).
The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (142 per game) versus the Cardinals defense since the start of last season.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-worst DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The New York Giants will be starting backup quarterback Jameis Winston in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
At the moment, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Giants.