Jameis Winston Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jameis Winston

NFL · Player Props

Jameis Winston

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+158/-191).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to run on 49.1% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
While Jameis Winston has accounted for 5.6% of his team's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New York's run game in this week's contest at 12.6%.
The opposing side have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (127 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.
At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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