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Jameis Winston Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-135/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 227.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 229.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in the NFL against the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season (73.0%).The Atlanta Falcons linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.9 plays per game.Jameis Winston has been among the least accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a 58.2% Completion%, checking in at the 23rd percentile.The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
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