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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Jameis Winston Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have intercepted 0.69 balls per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 10th-worst defense in football by this standard
  • The Atlanta Falcons linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.9 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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