Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Touchdowns

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 3:10 PM EST

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-117/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.1% red zone pass rate.
With an elite 30.8% Red Zone Target Rate (95th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
With an excellent 71.7% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
With a terrific ratio of 0.83 per game through the air (98th percentile), Ja'Marr Chase stands among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among WRs this year.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 126.5 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Titans, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.
Ja'Marr Chase has posted quite a few less air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (101.0 per game).
Ja'Marr Chase's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 74.7.