Ja'Marr Chase Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2022

Updated Sep 29, 2022 11:50 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
The Bengals are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Ja'Marr Chase has been given 4.5% of carries this year (96th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 120.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Ja'Marr Chase's rushing effectiveness (3.04 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (8th percentile among wide receivers and tight ends).
The Miami Dolphins defensive ends rank as the 4th-best group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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