Ja'Marr Chase Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-126/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this week's contest, Ja'Marr Chase is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.3 targets.
With an excellent 71.7% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
The Titans pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.6%) versus WRs this year (72.6%).
The Titans cornerbacks project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 126.5 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Titans, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.
Ja'Marr Chase's 27.3% Target% this year illustrates a substantial drop-off in his passing game workload over last year's 32.6% mark.
Ja'Marr Chase's 5.4 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a significant reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 7.0 figure.

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