My Account Log Out

reorder

Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 66.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

The model projects Ja'Marr Chase to accumulate 12.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

Ja'Marr Chase has been a more important option in his team's passing attack this season (33.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.1%).

Ja'Marr Chase's 8.4 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving skills over last season's 7.4 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 33.1 per game) this year.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Buffalo's unit has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

More Ja'Marr Chase Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™