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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • The model projects Ja'Marr Chase to accrue 11.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 33.3% Target Share this season shows a significant gain in his air attack utilization over last season's 27.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

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