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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.

With an impressive 97.0% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.8 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the tough Ravens defense has allowed a puny 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 10th-best rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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