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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to total 9.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

Ja'Marr Chase has been a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this season (29.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (24.1%).

Ja'Marr Chase's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, averaging 6.7 yards per game vs just 3.8 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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