Ja'Marr Chase Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 100.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to notch 9.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, notching 6.6 yards per game compared to just 3.8 last year.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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