Ja'Marr Chase Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 99.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to accumulate 9.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
Ja'Marr Chase's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, totaling 7.4 yards per game vs a mere 5.0 last season.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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