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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+149/-196).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -196.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 100.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to earn 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's receiving skills have improved this season, totaling 7.4 yards per game vs a mere 5.0 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

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