Ja'Marr Chase Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+149/-196).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -196.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 100.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to earn 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase's receiving skills have improved this season, totaling 7.4 yards per game vs a mere 5.0 last season.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

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