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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 98.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to total 10.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, averaging 7.2 yards per game compared to a mere 5.0 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus wideouts this year (64.2%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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