Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 62.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to start backup quarterback Jake Browning in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (67.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
With an impressive 97.1% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.
In this game, Ja'Marr Chase is forecasted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.2 targets.
When talking about air yards, Ja'Marr Chase grades out in the towering 90th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling an impressive 96.0 per game.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year.
Ja'Marr Chase has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (83.0) this season than he did last season (93.0).
Ja'Marr Chase's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this year, compiling a mere 5.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.64 figure last year.
This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered a mere 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-best rate in football.

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