Jamal Agnew Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jamal Agnew

NFL · Player Props

Jamal Agnew

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Agnew Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Jamal Agnew's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.0% to 77.4%.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Jamal Agnew has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (15.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (45.4%).
Jamal Agnew has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (13.0 per game) than he did last season (25.0 per game).
Jamal Agnew has been among the bottom WRs in the game this year, averaging a lowly 17.0 yards per game while ranking in the 17th percentile among WRs.

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