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Jamaal Williams
NFL · Player Props
Jamaal Williams
RB · Detroit Lions
Rushing Yards
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC
NFL Props Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.55 seconds per snap.
  • Jamaal Williams has averaged 47.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (77th percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (128 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.
  • The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Lions are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a much smaller part of his team's run game this week (39.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (50.7% in games he has played).
  • Jamaal Williams has been among the worst running backs in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 1.96 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 7th percentile.
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