Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to earn 13.7 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has received 57.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
Jamaal Williams has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-most yards in the league (141 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jamaal Williams has been among the weakest running backs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.77 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.

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