Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to total 14.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has garnered 60.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in run blocking.
Jamaal Williams has rushed for significantly more yards per game (70.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jamaal Williams has been among the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging just 2.70 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 106 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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