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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.7% run rate.
  • Jamaal Williams has generated 46.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (78th percentile).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
  • The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 120.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (32.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (51.2% in games he has played).

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