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Jamaal Williams
NFL · Player Props
Jamaal Williams
RB · Detroit Lions
Receptions
Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2022 Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM EST
NFL Props Jamaal Williams Receptions

Jamaal Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -106.

Favors Over
  • The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.77 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to total 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be much more involved in his offense's pass game this week (10.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.6% in games he has played).
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in the league (89.8%) versus running backs since the start of last season (89.8%).
Favors Under
  • The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • Jamaal Williams's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 92.9% to 80.0%.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions have utilized play action on a lowly 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
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