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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 66.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (62.7%) versus WRs since the start of last season (62.7%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, surrendering 7.19 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have incorporated play action on a mere 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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