Jalen Hurts Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+228/-233).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Jalen Hurts has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in football among QBs (3rd percentile).
This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has conceded a meager 0.50 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

Favors Under

At the moment, the most run-centric offense in football in the red zone (52.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Eagles.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
The Eagles have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.5 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to be a much bigger part of his team's run game near the goal line in this week's game (43.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (21.7% in games he has played).
Jalen Hurts's 59.5% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.9% mark.

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