Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 14, 2026 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-268/+205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -218 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +205.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Eagles as the 6th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 46.9% red zone pass rate.
The Eagles have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 64.9% to 57.6%.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.