Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 5

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-216/+167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +172 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 47.5% red zone pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
The Eagles have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.5 plays per game.
Jalen Hurts's 59.5% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.9% mark.
This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded a mere 0.75 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the best rate in football.