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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This year, the weak Giants defense has been gouged for a colossal 77.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 46.1% red zone pass rate.
  • The Giants linebackers rank as the 5th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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