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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a stellar 68.4% Adjusted Completion% (82nd percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts places as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.

This year, the porous Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a staggering 1.61 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 45.1% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.25 seconds per play.

The projections expect Jalen Hurts to attempt 24.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the fewest among all QBs.

More Jalen Hurts Player Props

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