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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 137.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 46.6% red zone pass rate.

In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the predictive model to average the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 35.5.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

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