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Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Eagles will be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the model to run 67.7 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.The Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.Jalen Hurts is positioned as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with an outstanding 68.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 79th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Eagles to pass on 46.6% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.Right now, the least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (45.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Philadelphia Eagles.In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projection model to total the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 28.9. This year, the stout Packers defense has allowed a meager 1.35 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the 9th-smallest rate in the NFL.
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