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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

Jalen Hurts's 69.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy improvement in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.9% figure.

The Commanders defense has given up the 7th-most passing TDs in football: 1.70 per game this year.

The Commanders cornerbacks rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 4 points.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

At the moment, the least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (44.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Eagles.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.04 seconds per play.

In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the 9th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.3.

More Jalen Hurts Player Props

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