Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 6, 2024 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+106/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.
The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 49.1% red zone pass rate.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.8 per game) last year.
When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been phenomenal last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.