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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +112.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.63 seconds per play.
  • The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has given up the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in the league: 1.50 per game since the start of last season.

  • The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Eagles are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-fewest of all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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