Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 59.6% to 67.5%.
Jalen Hurts has been among the leading TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 1.67 per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 47.7% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.

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