Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+104/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.2% run rate.
Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to accrue 6.4 carries in this contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all QBs.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 18.8% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
The Eagles have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.5 plays per game.
Jalen Hurts's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a noteable decrease in his running proficiency over last year's 26.0 figure.
Jalen Hurts's 3.31 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year illustrates a substantial regression in his rushing prowess over last year's 4.79 rate.