Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-106/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 44.0% of their chances: the 9th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to call 65.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Jalen Hurts is expected by the projection model to total the 2nd-most rush attempts among all QBs with 6.8.
While Jalen Hurts has accounted for 18.9% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Philadelphia's run game in this week's contest at 23.9%.
Jalen Hurts has generated 25.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to QBs (88th percentile).

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Eagles have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.6 plays per game.
Jalen Hurts's ground effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling just 3.26 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.79 mark last season.
Since the start of last season, the tough Rams run defense has conceded a measly 105.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 8th-fewest in the league.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-best in football.