Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 24, 2026 9:43 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+101/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -306 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 49.0% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.0 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
This week, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the projection model to accrue the 2nd-most rush attempts among all QBs with 7.5.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 18.2% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing more favorable weather this week.
Jalen Hurts's running effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 3.17 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.79 figure last season.