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Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 53.2% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.In this contest, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by our trusted projection set to earn the 4th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 8.6. Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 27.0% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among quarterbacks.Jalen Hurts's 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a significant gain in his running skills over last season's 34.0 rate.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has conceded a measly 92.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 5th-best in the NFL.The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 4th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
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