Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a big 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 57.1% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is expected by our trusted projection set to notch the most carries among all quarterbacks with 9.6.

Favors Under

With a lousy rate of 4.6 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (20th percentile), Jalen Hurts stands as one of the weakest rushing QBs in the league this year.