Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 49.2% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Jalen Hurts to accumulate 8.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jalen Hurts's ground effectiveness (4.52 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (19th percentile when it comes to QBs).