Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to accrue 12.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jalen Hurts's running effectiveness has worsened this year, totaling a measly 4.54 yards-per-carry vs a 6.05 figure last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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