Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (+124/-148).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This year, the porous Jaguars defense has allowed a colossal 282.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-most in the league.
The Jaguars pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.31 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
The Eagles have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.5 plays per game.
Jalen Hurts's 59.5% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.9% mark.
Jalen Hurts grades out as one of the least efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a lowly 6.16 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 14th percentile.

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